So, the aldermen...
I would say DePoy, Romeo and Kiernan are safe bets based on name recognition, word on the street and the number of Kiernan signs I see around. Plus, Kiernan's showing when he ran for Legislature.
I think Sargeant will hold his seat and Barrett will probably keep his. The incumbents in general seem to have tied their fate to that of the rec center, and since I'm predicting that will pass, I should probably predict they will return.
I'm not sure whether to think the sixth seat will go to Wallstrom, Bixby or Pemrick. Pemrick probably has the name recognition of the three, but I'm not sure how broad his actual support is. If I had to guess, I'd go with Wallstrom using the same rec center-centric logic I used above, but I wouldn't bet the farm on it.
If I'm right about the effect of the rec center on the vote but wrong about whether it passes, that'll just screw everything up.
Obviously, that means I'm not expecting White or Wade to make the cut. White's record in previous elections shows a pretty consistent trend while Wade, though he remains on the ballot, withdrew.
You were dead on! I'm impressed.
Glad I got out before I was forced to "tweet."
Posted by: Stephanie | 03/02/2011 at 10:50 AM